If you haven't done so already, please read first --- Letter 1 of 4 Birth of a Banana Republic
Just before noon today I heard a dim humming in the air. At least I thought I heard it. Because it was so faint it could have been the blood pulsating in my ears. When there is no wind, it is very quiet these days. No birds, no insects, absolute silence. Which is why you can hear the faintest sound even when it is far away. I shook my head and closed the eyes to concentrate and listen. Then I heard it again.
It was the sound of an engine many miles away. I have heard this sound before. It was them, there is no doubt. Nobody except the Lords have aircraft these days. They use drones to survey the land and search for enemies. And for booty. Often this will be followed by a raid. They send out their Bandits to do the dirty work for them. The last time they came was two years ago. After the raid nothing much of the settlement below was left. Only the women and the old survived. And a couple of young ones who were able to keep out of sight. I told them that in order to stay alive in the future they must disperse and hide when I warn them. I also urged them to disguise their huts and break up their fields into many small patches spread out over a large area. So that from high up nothing is seen but empty, barren land. Being invisible is the best protection.
At noon I stood on the hilltop with my big mirror, waiting for their call. After a while three short bursts of light flickered up from the valley as they do every day at this time. The signal means “Hi there, any news ?”. Usually I would respond with three burst of light from my mirror meaning “All is fine.”. But today my answer was “Be aware, a drone has been heard. Wait for more signals from me.”. This is to prepare for a full alarm when the drone is closing in or the Bandits are approaching in their rumbling armoured trucks.
The hum of the engine became louder. Turning my head slowly from left to right and back again I tried to determine the direction and start looking for it. It is very hard to locate a small drone high up in the bright sky. The eyes hurt after a short while, so I close them for a few minutes every now and then. If the buzz of the drone increases, it is coming this way and sooner or later I will see it. After the third attempt I saw it. In the north west, a mile away. I raised the full alarm. Immediately I heard the foghorn down in the valley warning the settlers where ever they were working. They would grab some food and water and run to hide below rocks, underneath bushes and in the caves. The drone passed overhead and continued towards the south east. This is a good sign. For if it had noticed anything, it would have turned around to take a closer look. The humming waned. I waited for another hour, then gave the all clear. It had worked. However, I will remain on heightened alert for a couple of days in case the Lords found anything on the video record and decided to send the Bandits.
Once a week one of the settlers comes up the hill to bring me some food. What I can grow myself is not enough to keep me alive. Most of the time its one of the elders coming to talk and share news from other settlements. They also discuss their problems with me and want to know where things will be going in the future. Today a young woman, Elsa, came. Her brother had broken his arm and was in pain. I am not a doctor. And there is no medicine. I told her to make a brace from sticks. Then wrap the arm with some fabric and pour water over it. The evaporating water will cool the arm and alleviate the pain. I told her to come back if it got worse. When Elsa left she said how grateful they all were for my warnings and how they appreciated my advice. I felt good that night.
Client Kings
The period from 2035 to 2060 AD
As a consequence law and order had disappeared. Or more accurately, it had been replaced by the rule of self-appointed state governors, warlords, security services, and the military. You see, when there is no money to pay a lawyer or a judge, justice can not be done. Even if it were, what would you do with those found guilty ? You can’t imprison them, because there are no prison guards. You can’t hang them, because there is no hangman. The new rule, if you can call it that, was simple: Do what those in power tell you to do, otherwise you’ll be dead. On second thought this is not a new rule at all. You always had to do what you where told, except you were not instantly killed for disobeying. The trouble during these years was, nobody was quite sure who was actually “in power”, because it depended on where you were and it seemed to change all the time.
People died from violence and disease, but most died from hunger. For ordinary people there was no food. Valuable agricultural land was being lost through rising sea levels and violent hurricanes which devastated low-lying areas and river deltas. This was the most fertile land you can imagine, supporting billions of people, almost a quarter of mankind. Even where food was still grown, you couldn’t get it because there was no transport, no fuel, no distribution. And ordinary people had no money to buy it. For people to survive there were only three options: Join the army, become a gang member, or get into a labour camp. In practice none of these organisations would let you in, because they all had too many people and all those people had to be fed. My father, then in his mid-twenties, tried all the options many times unsuccessfully until, finally, he was accepted into a big new labour camp in the Midwest. This camp had been built to supply plantations, adjacent food factories and a new military base with cheap labour. The military base, as it turned out, had been quietly established by the Chinese. The base, they said, was to help the generals in their various battles. It was not the only base they created on American soil.
Worldwide economic collapse was followed by the breakdown of political and social systems. This means civil society as we know it was disintegrating. Rapid changes were occurring throughout the world.
In the south the Latin American drug cartels had diversified away from drugs long ago. There was no more money in drugs as people couldn’t pay. But they retained their great paramilitary power base, especially the Colombian and Honduran mercenaries who had once been trained in the US, at the School of the Americas. The drug barons, being guided by their financial advisors, had invested their capital wisely, just before the economy crashed. They emerged as the new owners of large parts of the land, including giant plantations and agribusinesses some of which had earlier belonged to United Fruit and other US companies. The barons practically owned most Latin American governments and their armed forces. They were now looking for new ventures.
In the US a guerilla war had been going on amongst the many warlords and their gangs. Although tens of thousands died every month, those remaining fought with ever increasing resolve, force, and violence. In the end the surviving warlords and gangs merged, becoming bigger and stronger. They were trying to establish themselves as the new ruling class. But they needed someone to help them do that. The Latin Americans seemed to be the right people. It was the ideal time for the two parties to join forces as it was bound to benefit both sides, a true win-win solution. The new body was called the Southern Syndicate, with mutual support and trade being its main aim. And they could see how barter trade would flourish. It would be controlled by the warlords and their southern masters, but administered by the oligarchs who had experience in the barter trade. In the absence of any trustworthy currency they would trade oil for food, water for weapons, slaves for spare parts.
Elsewhere big power blocs were developing. China, Japan and Korea formed the Asia Bloc. India, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Iran joined in the Middle Empire. Russia convinced its reluctant former satellites to team up in the Northern Bloc. Having lost the financial and military support of the US, Israel suddenly found itself on its own, facing the Middle Empire plus the Asia and the Northern blocs. These blocs felt threatened by the uncontrolled Israeli war machine. It took a long series of tense negotiations to eventually “persuade” Israel to reduce its nuclear arsenal and give up its medium and long range missiles – to avoid “preemptive annihilation”. This had become common terminology after the US had waged several preemptive wars and thereby started a trend. Israel survived economically by exporting its surveillance and killer drones, its advanced interrogation techniques, and the know-how of the world’s most effective secret service, the Mossad.
In a cruel twist of history expatriate Cubans from Florida invaded their former homeland and overthrew the communist regime – using considerable fire power borrowed from the US army. They duly returned property and landholdings to their former owners and restored everything to pre-Castro conditions including drug dealing, gambling and prostitution. In addition they kept their foothold in Florida, expanding it into a first-class crime centre, offering blackmail, extortion, hit services and the like in competition to the leftovers of the Mafia and the CIA. Warlords and oligarch were both pleased with these services as they offered an easy and discrete way to get rid of unwelcome rivals. The Cubans were so successful that the Southern Syndicate offered them a prominent place at their table.
The factory where my father worked made food from soybeans, artificial bread for humans and animal feed for chicken and pigs. The workers didn’t get any wages, but they got food and shelter. In return they worked 14-hour shifts, seven days a week. They slept in large bunk rooms, each holding 300 men. Effectively they were slaves. There was a lot of fighting amongst them, mostly about food. When they got their piece of soy bread before and after work, they wolfed it down quickly so it couldn’t be taken from them. Yet often a few would gang up on someone, knock him to the ground and take his food. My father would intervene to stop these attacks and calm down the men. It was bad enough as it was, he would say. And if anyone didn’t like it here, they could go. There were thousands outside the gate who would love to take their place, he said. A supervisor overheard this and told my father he liked it. Because it made his life easier. My father was made assistant supervisor and was quickly promoted through the ranks. He became the General Manager of the factory in 2049. This brought great privileges. He was even allowed to have, and keep, a female partner. I was born a year later.
Throughout the world central government authority and democracy, where it had existed, disappeared. This is the inevitable consequence of any large economic disaster. The more successful the economy had been and the higher its associated living standards, the more spectacular the fall into chaos. Fierce battles between roving gangs, self-appointed rulers and remnants of the old order were raging worldwide and they were increasingly won by the gangs. The same, of course, had been happening in the former USA all along. I call it “former” because by now it was on the verge of disintegrating.
The central military command fought in Texas, in California, in Washington state, against many small armies, guerillas, insurgents, saboteurs. This is the type of warfare the military can’t win. They call it “asymmetric” as if complaining how unfair it all is. The mighty “defense” forces are the ones, after all, that have all the shiny new armour, latest high-tech weaponry, expensive laser-guided mega bombs capable of destroying whole cities and small countries in one hit. They ought to win, not this rag-tag crowd of amateurs using decades old AK47s, home-made bombs, and machetes. You could almost hear the generals whining. What an injustice was being done to them ! However, they still managed to annihilate large numbers of enemies, although one can’t be sure who all those dead bodies really were. Because they were pulverised, burnt to ashes, dismembered beyond recognition and beyond count. It is the old problem: If you detonate large bombs in populated areas, you will kill a few dozen “terrorists”, but also hundreds of thousands of civilians. This is collateral damage. And while they claim to regret it, politicians will always say that “it was worth it.”
In spite of the mega-deaths they caused, the military kept losing. In the end the Chinese overlords lost their patience. And their composure. There were shouting matches in the Pentagon, can you believe it. The Chinese are well known for keeping a straight face in adversity. But they could not take the excuses any more. In the end they stopped talking to the generals and instead made deals with some of the rebellious states and their warlords saying “Get your act together, elect a ruling committee and a leader, then in return we’ll drop our support for the army and look after you instead.”
This created, virtually overnight, a number of self-declared “independent” territories, each headed by a council, consisting of oligarchs and warlords, and a president, called Supremo or Leader or even Great Leader. Eventually it became fashionable to call yourself “King”. So it was that King Zhang-Ho ruled in the Northwest territory, King Fernando II in the South, and King Edward The Younger on the East Coast. There were many more kings, running smaller kingdoms. And they all looked for a sponsor, be it the Asia Bloc (the Chinese), the Southern Syndicate, or the Northerners (the Russians). A few prospered and grew. Most shriveled and died and their little empire with them. Their land and “property” changed hands behind closed doors. King Zhang-Ho became the favourite king of the Asia Bloc. He was a Chinese-American, of course, but more importantly he could deliver aircraft, advanced weapons, and computer technology in return for food and oil. His territory comprised, after all, manufacturers of aircraft, missiles, and drones, and the former Silicon Valley. There were regular food transports from the Chinese owned Midwest plantations and factories to Zhang-Ho-City (the former San Francisco). After some of those transports had been intercepted and looted by insurgents from smaller kingdoms, my father was appointed to head a new transport, this time a convoy reinforced and protected by heavily armed soldiers from the Northwest territory. The convoy arrived unharmed and was officially welcomed by King Zhang-Ho. The king took a liking to my father and offered him the position of Logistics Minister of the Kingdom, reporting directly to the Crown, that is to him. After this was approved by the overlords my father and his female partner (and I) moved to Zhang-Ho-City.
By the end of 2060 the US military had finally collapsed. And with it any trace of central authority. And of the USA as a sovereign country. This was the result of the external power blocs nurturing the emerging kingdoms and withdrawing their support from the generals. Some of the troops, smelling the decay, jumped ship and joined the nearest king who would have them. The military arsenals, laboratories, and warehouses, having been looted many times before, were now being cleaned out for good, with some disastrous consequences in later years.
Thus came to an end the era of the much-decorated generals and their Banana Republic. In its place a new type of regime had emerged: That of the Client Kings. A new type of regime ? Not really. There had been very similar kings, thousands of years ago, who were totally dependent on the umbilical cord of some benevolent empire. History does repeat itself.
---------------------------- continues with Letter 3 of 4 Apocalypse © Rolf Brandt 2009